Wild Card Weekend Player Props: Best Player Props to Bet from Connor Allen
We got back on the right track last week, popping over a little over 2 units with limited plays. Sportsbooks essentially refused to post anything in Week 18 due to so much uncertainty. It makes sense from a risk perspective because those are the easiest props to win and react to news quickly. It led to a relatively small card for me. We got our quickest cash of the season with Nico Collins catching a 75-yard touchdown on the Texans' first offensive play from scrimmage. We bet over 71.5 receiving yards, so seeing that cash on the first play was glorious. Hopefully, we get more of those in the playoffs!
With the regular season wrapping up and futures cashing, I finished the regular season up a touch over 10 units. It’s relatively disappointing after such a hot first half of the season, but profit is profit. Ryan Noonan also won a similar amount on unique player props and defensive props as well.
If you are still not a subscriber, there is no better time to test out our product than now. It is just $19.99 for the rest of the playoffs and Super Bowl. We will continue releasing player props in our discord that include a breakdown, which books you can play it at, and what price we are eying. All subscribers get a notification before the play goes out as well so they can prepare and get the same price we do.
If you only use the pick’em apps (Prizepicks, Vivid, Underdog, etc), we have tons of subscribers in the same boat. They tend to combine a variety of our plays and oftentimes find even better values.
If that sounds interesting to you and you still have questions, feel free to DM me on Twitter @ConnorAllenNFL.
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Wild Card Player Prop Bets
James Cook over 14.5 carries (-110 Bet 365)
This has jumped up to 15.5, which I would still play at regular juice. Cook has 16+ carries in 5-of-7 games since Joe Brady took over as OC and now finds himself in a perfect spot. The weather looks dreadful with 20+MPH sustained winds, gusts up to 50 MPH, temperatures in the low 20's and snow. The Bills also enter the game as 10-point favorites and are likely to face a positive game script. Even without those factors, we could see the Bills opt to skew run-heavy against a Steelers team that has struggled to stop the run at times this season. This is at least a carry too low.
Risk 1.14 units to win 1 unit (Released at FD at -114)
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