Titans vs. Jaguars, Patriots vs. Jets prediction: NFL Week 18 picks

Titans vs. Jaguars, Patriots vs. Jets prediction: NFL Week 18 picks

Post sports gambling editor/producer Erich Richter is in his first season in the Bettors Guide.

Tennessee Titans (+3.5) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Hold your nose.

Will Levis isnt the most fun quarterback to bet on.

But Trevor Lawrence is far from healthy, and the Jaguars defense is a disaster.

When betting a favorite, you look for a running game to carry you to victory and, in theory, help you cover the spread in the fourth quarter.

Thats why the Jaguars are a fade ATS this weekend they have the third-worst yards per carry average in the NFL this season (3.6).

Pro Football Focus grades their run blocking at the bottom of the league.

That, plus an injured quarterback and a team that wont bow down in Week 18, tells me the Jaguars wont walk all over Tennessee in this must-win matchup.

The Titans probably wont win outright, but 3.5 is a fine number to back Mike Vrabels motivated bunch.

Titans_vs__Jaguars__Patriots_vs__Jets_prediction__NFL_Week_18_picksWill Levis warms up before the Titans’ 26-3 loss to the Texans. Getty Images## NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-1.5) over New York Jets

Its going to be ugly, but one team is playing well and hard, the other group has flights booked for St. Barts.

Expect Bill Belichick to put on a coaching display so good that Jets owner Woody Johnson will want to rescind his vote of confidence in Robert Saleh for 2024.

The only way to beat New England is through the air, which we know the Jets are mostly incapable of doing.

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In the past three games, the Jets net yards per play (per play yards allowed minus gained) is minus-1.5, and New Englands is actually positive at 0.3.

The Jets packed it in. Back New England here as the run defense carries it to victory.

Last week: 2-0. Chiefs (W), Patriots (W) 2023 season: 16-16-2.

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