NFL Divisional Playoffs DFS PrizePicks:Josh Allen, Rachaad White
There are only four games on the schedule in the divisional round of the NFL playoffs this weekend, which means there are eight teams that have the chance to punch their tickets to Championship Sunday.
After a down week in the wild-card round, were looking to bounce back with strong divisional-round plays.
Here are my four favorite projections to target this weekend one Saturday and three Sunday.
Justin Tucker (Ravens vs. Texans) more than 1.5 field goals made
I like to target kickers who are expected to be playing with a lead, and Tucker qualifies since the Ravens are 9.5-point favorites.
When teams fall behind, they often avoid field goal attempts as they try to erase the deficit with touchdowns instead.
Justin Tucker #9 of the Baltimore Ravens kicks a field goal against the Miami Dolphins. Getty ImagesIts going to be a little windy in Baltimore on Saturday, but that shouldnt be an issue for one of the best kickers of all time.
Tucker has made at least two field goals in five of his last seven games.
Rachaad White (Bucs vs. Lions) fewer than 15.5 rushing attempts
There are a couple of outs for this projection to hit.
The Buccaneers decided to play into their matchup against the Eagles last week and aired the ball out a lot more often than usual.
Despite playing with a big lead, White only had 18 carries.
We can expect a similar game plan Sunday, as the Lions have the best run defense in the NFL, according to DVOA.
The first out is the Buccaneers playing into the matchup like they did against Philadelphia.
The second is that they fall behind early and are forced to throw the ball.
And as 6.5-point underdogs on the road, they could easily find themselves in catch-up mode in the second half.
Mike Evans of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers looks on prior to a playoff game against the Philadelphia Eagles. Getty Images## Mike Evans (Bucs vs. Lions) more than 70.5 receiving yards
For many of the same reasons I like White to finish with fewer than 15.5 rushing attempts, I like Evans to finish with more than 70.5 receiving yards.
The Lions have been a pass-funnel matchup all season, ranking first in DVOA against the run and 25th in EPA against the pass.
Evans was quiet in last weeks win against the Eagles, but he boasts a 23% target share and a 40% air yards share on the season.
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The biggest weakness for the Lions defensively has been giving up the big play in the passing game.
This all sets up well for an Evans bounce-back performance.
Josh Allen (Bills vs. Chiefs) more than 43.5 rushing yards
Allen has been scrambling as much, if not more, than any quarterback, especially in the second half of the season.
He has at least eight rushing attempts in six of his last seven games.
During that stretch, he rushed for at least 44 yards on four different occasions.
The Chiefs, who have allowed the ninth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season, saw Allen run 10 times in their December meeting for 32 yards and a touchdown.
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