Chiefs vs. Bills NFL divisional round odds, player props, picks

Biggest game of the NFL season. Josh Allen faces Patrick Mahomes, and it’s hard not to get Tom Brady vs. Peyton Manning flashbacks.

Can Allen finally get over that Chiefs hump? You can also see my picks for all of Sunday’s games for the big games.

But for now, let’s talk props. The best way to bet the NFL.

There are plenty of opportunities to beat the books here, and Chiefs-Bills is no different.

Chiefs vs. Bills player props and picks

Dalton Kincaid over 39.5 (-110, BetMGM) | anytime touchdown scorer (+270, FanDuel) | 2+ touchdowns (27/1, FanDuel)

This spot was initially going to be held by Gabe Davis as the Buffalo WR2 roasted the Chiefs in 2021. This time it’ll be all about Dalton Kincaid, the Bills’ rookie tight end is growing into a star in Buffalo.

Kincaid is over 39.5 in three straight games, and even though Kansas City held him to 21 yards on Dec. 10, he still received eight targets with Davis active that game.

Kincaid was heavily featured early against the Steelers when Buffalo was still throwing the ball in the first half. I expect him to be heavily featured again, especially with Diggs struggling to open against L’Jarius Sneed.

Back Kincaid with these long shot props, with a bet to cover the other two with a bet on the over 39.5 receiving yards.

Recommended bankroll management: 1 unit over 39.5 receiving yards | .5 unit on TD scorer +270 | .25 unit 2+ touchdowns (27/1)

Chiefs_vs_Bills_NFL_divisional_round_odds_player_props_picks Dalton Kincaid could breakout on Sunday. Getty Images### James Cook over 16.5 receiving yards (-114, FanDuel) | 50+ receiving yards (+650, DraftKings)

The Bills’ running back should still be relied on heavily on Sunday in the passing game despite sputtering output the last four weeks.

But don’t let that deter you here.

Cook had four targets in each of his last two games and has cleared 16 receiving yards in 11 of 14 games starting in Week 11 and lasting through Christmas in Week 16.

His output hasn’t been strong in the passing game, but that doesn’t mean its time to fade, the opportunity is still there for Cook. He’s one broken tackle away from running for 20 on any given screen pass.

Bet the opportunity in this one. Cook had 83 receiving yards against the Chiefs on Dec. 10.

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Patrick Mahomes over 26.5 rushing yards (-114, FanDuel) | anytime touchdown scorer (+550, FanDuel)

In big games, Patrick Mahomes is not afraid to run. Mahomes has gone over 26.5 rushing yards in seven of his past 12 playoff games, while rushing for touchdowns in five of those 12 games.

To put this at +550 is at least a little ridiculous, we all remember the helmet shattering play that Mahomes endured against the Dolphins. If he wasn’t hit hard there, it was going to be another rushing touchdown for Mahomes.

As for the touchdown, the Bills have allowed four to opposing quarterbacks in their last eight games, making this a slam dunk on Sunday.

FanDuel’s odds are excellent value on Sunday for Mahomes to use his legs.

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