Buccaneers vs. Lions, Chiefs vs. Bills prediction: NFL picks, odds
Post sports gambling editor/producer Erich Richter is in his first season in the Bettors Guide.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-DETROIT LIONS Over 48.5
Dont expect a run-heavy affair.
Despite the Lions love for handoffs, they should be looking to beat the Buccaneers through the air.
Tampa Bays passing defense is among the worst in the NFL.
Its run defense is also quite good, eighth-fewest yards per carry allowed and an NFL-fewest five rushing touchdowns allowed.
We could be looking at a classic shootout.
Tampa Bay allowed the most passing yards in the NFL, with the Lions ranking seventh for the season but last over the final eight weeks.
It will come down to quarterback play Jared Goff vs. Baker Mayfield and one will be in the NFC Championship.
Its the total thats too low here. These two units have no air defense.
Grab the Over 48.5, as were looking at an entertaining shootout thanks to some unguardable wide receivers.
Stefon Diggs Getty Images## Buffalo Bills (-2.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Its time to finally get over the hump and tame your demons. Its all in front of the Bills on Sunday night in the marquee game of the NFL season.
The Bills are 3-3 against Kansas City in the Josh Allen-Patrick Mahomes era, but their two playoff losses are bitter pills to swallow.
Kansas City has allowed just four teams to score 20 points one of which had a defensive touchdown (Lions) and the other (Broncos) got there on a short, 10-yard drive.
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The Chiefs defense is beyond elite probably the NFLs best.
But they can be run on (23rd in YPC allowed), and WR2s dominate (25th WR2/DVOA). All of the stats favor Buffalo.
Ignore the overblown injury concerns and fade the public money. Buffalo moves on and is the sharp side at home.
Last week: 0-2. Dolphins (L), Steelers (L) 2023 season: 17-19-2.
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