Dolphins vs. Cowboys, Ravens vs. 49ers predictions: NFL odds, picks

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Post sports gambling editor/producer Erich Richter is in his first season in the Bettors Guide.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (-1) over Dallas Cowboys

Week 16 is here, the holidays are in bloom, and football is abundant this Sunday.

A team Ive been fading all year is going to Miami, and those palm trees arent going to be jolly to the Cowboys.

The Dolphins are looking to run the ball down the throats of the Cowboys defense, which was just embarrassed by James Cook and the Bills.

The Cowboys rank in the bottom half in the league in yards per carry (4.8 allowed), but dont be afraid to factor in that theyve beaten up some bad teams in decisive fashion.

Even in a loss to the Cardinals, Dallas allowed James Conner to run for 98 yards on 14 carries and a total of 222 rushing yards.

The Dolphins lead in the NFL in yards per carry and have the top two running backs in Pro Football Focus ratings in DeVon Achane and Raheem Mostert.

Dolphins_vs_Cowboys_Ravens_vs_49ers_predictions_NFL_odds_picks Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens. Getty Images## Baltimore Ravens (+5.5) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Anything more than a field goal is the bet in this one.

The top two teams in DVOA face off on Christmas Night, and this is a spot to bet the number.

This spread is far too large, if the Ravens are what the numbers say they are.

Baltimore is averaging 5.7 yards per carry in its past three games, second-best in the NFL behind only the 49ers.

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Meanwhile, San Francisco has the 18th-best run defense according to Aaron Schatzs DVOA, with the Ravens profiling as the better unit at eighth.

The Ravens also have the second-best pass defense unit according to DVOA.

So though the 49ers playmakers are elite, we can expect plenty of resistance from the Ravens.

Its never easy backing Lamar Jackson in big games, but a run-first mentality should be the path for victory. Upset alert! The Ravens win outright.

Last week: 1-1. Ravens (W), Broncos (L).

2023 season: 12-16-2

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