2023 NFL Futures: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs are vulnerable to the surging Ravens
The AFC appears to be more crowded than ever since the reign of Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid began, and somehow that picture doesnt presently include fellow foes in the Bills or Bengals.
The No. 1 seed is likely up for grabs among the Chiefs, Ravens, Dolphins, and Jaguars, with several others still looming in their respective divisions.
Lest we forget that the Chiefs have made it to at least the AFC title game for five consecutive seasons and advanced in three of them.
The potency isnt quite there with Kansas City, as it has lost to the Broncos and Packers, which has led to plenty of scrutiny.
Despite whatever relative flatness were seeing, the playoffs are Mahomes element and it would be ignorant to assume he wont turn on the jets when the season is at stake as he has firmly proven his capability of doing.
So, what does it take to bounce the Chiefs if youre an AFC contender? The only two times it has happened against Mahomes was the 2018 Patriots and 2021 Bengals.
New England beat the rookie all over the field with more than double the amount of first downs. Mahomes didnt cause any turnovers but struggled with an aggressive Patriots pass rush.
It took an overtime field goal for the Bengals to finish him three years later.
In fact, Kansas City outmatched Cincinnati in total yardage and yards per play, but Mahomes was sacked four times and threw two picks.
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs may be in for a rare ending to their regular season. Getty ImagesA matchup that has potential to expose the Chiefs in January would be with the Ravens, who lead the NFL in defensive DVOA and surrenders the least yards per play (4.2).
Baltimore is also the best rushing team in football, with 158.6 yards per game and 22 total touchdowns.
Much of that has been thanks to Lamar Jackson’s return toform, which hasslid him right back into the MVP discussion.
The stout defense has enabled Jackson to play with the lead often. He holds the highest game script differential at his position (+7.14).
The Ravens dominated in the red zone on both sides of the ball, scoring at a third-highest 64.6 percent rate while conceding points at a 37.5 percent rate.
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John Harbaugh took one step back to take two steps forward since the 14-2 campaign four years ago. The Ravens offer the most balance in the AFC race and with the Chiefs casting their annual shadow on the market, this would be the time to snag a hot price.
The play: Ravens to win AFC (+280 at BetRivers).
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL for Action Network.
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