Rutgers vs. Miami prediction: Pinstripe Bowl odds, pick, best bet

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The 6-6 Rutgers Scarlet Knights battle the 7-5 Miami Hurricanes in Thursdays Pinstripe Bowl, hosted at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx.

The Knights figure to have a substantial home-field advantage, as the Tri-state crowd is sure to be heavily pro-Rutgers.

However, the Knights also have personnel and motivational advantages.

Im betting Rutgers bowls over Miami.

Rutgers vs. Miami odds

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Rutgers	-2.5 (-110)	-120	o41.5 (-104)
Miami	+2.5 (-110)	+100	u41.5 (-118)

Odds via FanDuel## Rutgers vs. Miami prediction

(2:15 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Like most bowl-bound squads, several Knights hit the portal or opted out of the bowl game. The biggest name on that list is starting cornerback Max Melton.

However, Rutgers list of unavailable players pales compared to Miamis.

When the Hurricanes line up for the Pinstripe Bowl, theyll be without:

Starting quarterback Tyler Van Dyke
Starting wide receiver Colbie Young
Starting linebacker Corey Flagg
Starting center Matt Lee
Starting left guard Javion Cohen
Starting edge Jahfari Harvey
Starting cornerback Daryl Porter Jr.
Starting safety Kamren Kinchens
Starting safety James Williams
Starting nose tackle Leonard Taylor

In case you lost count, thats 10 starters total with five on both sides of the rock.

The Hurricanes will start third-string quarterback, Jacurri Brown, as backup Emory Williams is also hurt.

How do you expect the Hurricanes to compete with such limited resources?

They cant exploit Rutgers shorthanded pass defense with a third-string quarterback, and they wont exploit a mediocre fron seven without two starting offensive linemen.

The Scarlet Knights are a team that doesnt beat itself.

The offense ranks 12th nationally in Havoc allowed through a dual-threat rushing attack spearheaded by quarterback Gavin Wimsatt.

Rutgers_vs__Miami_prediction__Pinstripe_Bowl_odds__pick__best_bet Rutgers quarterback Gavin Wimsatt. Icon Sportswire via Getty ImagesThe defense ranks seventh in Pro Football Focuss tackling grades and 30th in EPA per Play allowed.

The Scarlet Knights went only 6-6, but they played FBSs second-toughest strength of schedule. For better or worse, this team is battle-tested and consistent.

Conversely, the Hurricanes are a highly variable team reliant on explosive plays and defensive Havoc.

Theyre inconsistent, and I dont trust the shorthanded Hurricanes to give their best effort in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium.

Mario Cristobal-led teams generally dont show up for bowl games, going 2-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in bowl games.

Conversely, Greg Schiano-led teams are highly motivated in bowls, going 5-1-1 ATS and covering the number by an average margin of eight points per game.

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I expect the Scarlet Knights to limit mistakes, run the ball and play good defense against a Miami team at 50% full strength.

That should be enough to squeak out Schianos sixth Bowl victory.

Id rather not lay 2.5 points in what I expect to be a weird, low-scoring Rutgers game that could finish 12-10, but I feel confident in betting the Scarlet Knights on the ML at anything better than -140.

Rutgers vs. Miami pick

Rutgers ML (-120) at FanDuel | Play to ML (-140)

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