Who is the best Super Bowl 2024 long shot MVP bet?

bettingsports betting promos kansas city chiefs nfl playoffs san francisco 49ers sports betting Sports Picks super bowl super bowl 2024 Bonus Code

The Super Bowl MVP generally goes to the quarterback from the winning team.

However, we have a unique situation in Super Bowl 2024.

Patrick Mahomes is going for his third Super Bowl in five years.

In years past, quarterbacks have been susceptible to some voter fatigue.

Specifically, Tom Brady lost Super Bowl MVP in Super Bowl 39 New Englands third in four years and Super Bowl 53 New Englands third in five years to his top wide receiver.

Julian Edelman earned honors in LIII, while Deion Branch picked up the award in XXXIX.

With that in mind, heres a wide receiver Im betting on to win Super Bowl 2024 MVP.

Super Bowl MVP Odds

Players	MVP Odds
Patrick Mahomes	+150
Brock Purdy	+210
Christian McCaffrey	+450
Travis Kelce	+1400
Deebo Samuel	+2500
Isiah Pacheco	+2500
Brandon Aiyuk	+5000
Rashee Rice	+5000
George Kittle	+7000
Nick Bosa	+8000
Chris Jones	+11000
Fred Warner	+14000

Odds via FanDuel(Via FanDuel)

Super Bowl MVP: Rashee Rice (+5000)

Kansas Citys wideout room was poverty this season.

The Chiefs led the league in drops (44), with Kadarius Toney and Marquez Valdes-Scantling single-handedly costing Mahomes a few wins.

The most talked about Chiefs wide receiver debacle was this offsides call on Toney.

Kadarius Toney lining up offsides is reason the Chiefs will travel to Buffalo instead of hosting the Bills in Arrowhead pic.twitter.com/1TKhx82AmU

— Eric Rosenthal (@ericsports) January 16, 2024But dont forget this brutal Valdes-Scantling drop against the Eagles.

MARQUEZ VALDEZ SCANTLING HORRIBLE DROP #nflpic.twitter.com/tOqKM2lkbx

— (@ClampedBySpoon) November 21, 2023Or Toney’s four-drop performance against the Lions.

Kadarius Toney tonight: 5 targets, 1 catch, 1 yard. Drop that turned into a pick-six. Drop that killed a fourth quarter drive. Jeez. pic.twitter.com/Aqxwn8ZS7S

— Shehan Jeyarajah (@ShehanJeyarajah) September 8, 2023Compound the wide receiver woes with Travis Kelces down season although hes rebounded in the playoffs and Mahomes was constantly hamstrung by the NFLs worst weapons room.

However, the Chiefs have found something in rookie Rashee Rice.

After a slow start, Rice exploded in the second half. Since Thanksgiving, Rice has snagged 43 receptions (seven per game) on 56 targets (nine per game) for more than 500 yards on a 77% catch rate. Hes recorded four 90-plus-yard games during the stretch.

Hes erupted as an explosive (2.4 yards per route run), sure-handed receiver who is highly productive in the middle of the field. Hes single-handedly saved Mahomes wideout room.

Rashee Rice lol pic.twitter.com/oKUPyf540K

— Tanner McGrath (@tannerstruth) February 6, 2024Kelce is still Mahomes top option, but Id imagine San Francisco keys in on him in the Super Bowl.

Moreover, the 49ers rank fourth among NFL defenses in DVOA allowed to tight ends I could envision a tough day for the Hall of Fame tight end.

Therefore, I could see Mahomes locking in on Rice in the Super Bowl, leading to a potentially monster day.

And if the voters are tired of giving Super Bowl MVP to Mahomes, Rice is next up on the list of potential WR winners.

The key to this handicap might be how Andy Reid attacks the 49ers’ secondary. Reid and the Chiefs must scheme Rice away from cornerback Charvarius Ward, who allows only a 55% catch rate.

But if Rice gets matched up with Ambry Thomas or Deommodore Lenoir, who both allow more than 70% catch rates, Mahomes could feed him consistently and successfully all night.

Im betting that happens, and Rice makes the most of it in a potential double-digit catch, 100-yard MVP performance granted the Chiefs win.

Super Bowl MVP Isiah Pacheco (+2500)

The other Kansas City voter fatigue option is Pacheco, who is in line for a potentially big day.

The 49ers defensive line gets plenty of love, especially because its the highest-paid unit on the team and has been dominant for years behind Nick Bosa.

However, San Francisco’s front seven has been a weakness this season.

Who_is_the_best_Super_Bowl_2024_long_shot_MVP_bet Isiah Pacheco could have a big day against the 49ers. Getty ImagesSpecifically, the 49ers rush defense has fallen off a cliff, finishing bottom-seven in EPA per Rush and Rush Success Rate allowed. They were closer to the league average by Rush Defense DVOA, but the whole picture isnt pretty.

Just this playoff run, the Niners allowed 136 rush yards to Green Bay and 182 plus three scores to Detroit, a total of 318 yards at 5.6 yards per carry.

Now, we turn to Pacheco, who ran like a bat out of hell for more than 900 yards and seven scores in the regular season, only to pick up 97 rushing yards against Buffalo, 68 against Baltimore and 89 against Miami in three playoff appearances.

Isaiah Pacheco teleported through this gap pic.twitter.com/byG9ZM0sZB

— JP Acosta (@acosta32_jp) January 30, 2024Despite having an offensive line that finished 19th in Line Yards, Pacheco averaged almost 4.5 yards per attempt, mainly by generating more than 800 yards after contact the latter is the fifth-most among qualified NFL running backs this year.

In the Super Bowl, Pacheco should see the majority of the carries, the offensive line could get a push against a soft front and he could rush for 150 yards and a few scores if Reid decides to dice up San Francisco on the ground with a rush-heavy game script.

A few years ago, I thought running back Damien Williams shouldve been the MVP of Super Bowl 54 when he picked up 104 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries against Kyle Shanahans 49ers.

Although he added 30 yards and a score through the air, I think Pacheco can do something similar, and he might get the votes this time now that Mahomes already has his two Pete Rozelles.

At 25/1, Ill take a shot with the second-year running back.

Super Bowl MVP Fred Warner (+14000) and Dre Greenlaw (+50000)

I might as well give a pick in case the 49ers the actual favorites win.

Theres a high chance that Brock Purdy or Christian McCaffery will win the MVP award if the Niners pull it off.

However, at +210 and +540, respectively, I cant get behind those odds.

So, Ill throw two darts on two linebackers.

There is a world where the uber-young Purdy and his 49ers cant get off the ground in the Super Bowl perhaps if Shanahans scripted plays dont work early, McCaffrey cant generate big rushing plays and any adjustments dont help against a Chiefs’ defense playing at an elite level.

Ready to start your Super Bowl 2024 betting?

Catch the latest Super Bowl odds here
Get up to $5,350 in bonuses from the best sports betting sites in the USA
Download our expert’s top sports betting apps
Find the best Travis Kelce props for Super Bowl Sunday

But, there is a world within that world where San Franciscos highly talented, if underperforming, defense steps up and puts together a dominant performance behind an excellent game plan from coordinator Steve Wilks in a low-scoring, low-box-score-value vctory.

In that scenario, Id imagine that one of the 49ers defensive quarterbacks — the linebackers — earn MVP honors for leading a defensive masterclass.

The apparent pick amongst the linebacker core is Fred Warner, the top-rated NFL linebacker by Pro Football Focus. He was a solid pass rusher but was even better against the run and in coverage. He racked up 132 tackles, six tackles for loss, defended 11 passes and snagged four interceptions.

Who_is_the_best_Super_Bowl_2024_long_shot_MVP_bet 49ers linebacker Fred Warner. Getty ImagesImagine if he picks up a sack or two and holds his own against Kelce in coverage. That is a compelling argument in the above-mentioned game script.

A similar argument can be made for Dre Greenlaw, who amassed 120 tackles this year. He wasnt as productive as Warner in any area, but hes the other clear pick as the second linebacker quarterbacking of the defense.

For what its worth, heres 49ers linebackers coach Johnny Holland talking about the importance of Greenlaw and Warner in their scheme.

Asked Johnny Holland about how Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw fit into their scheme pic.twitter.com/R38QOdDCr5

— Theo Ash (@TheoAshNFL) February 6, 2024

How many decks are used in poker?

In most popular poker variants, such as Texas Hold'em and Omaha, a standard deck of 52 playing cards is used. Each deck contains four suits (hearts, diamonds, clubs, and spades) and consists of 13 ranks (Ace, 2 through 10, and the face cards: Jack, Queen, and King).

What is the bonus code for WPT Global Poker 2023?

The best bonus code for WPT Global is WPT777. By entering the bonus code, players will get a welcome bonus 100% up to $1,200 on the first deposit. The minimum deposit is $20.