NBA DFS picks: PrizePicks targets forWarriors-Pacers, T-Wolves-Bucks
There have been a flurry of deals at the NBAs trade deadline, with both teams and players impacted.
As we analyze Thursday nights PrizePicks board, I avoided targeting players who were dealt, since they wont be with their new clubs for at least 24 hours.
Lets jump in and take a look at three projections that have caught my attention.
Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors vs. Pacers) more than 20.5 points
The Warriors have embraced a youth movement over the past few weeks, led by inserting Kuminga back into the starting lineup.
Kumingas emergence began on Jan. 12 when he was benched in favor of Dario Saric.
He responded by scoring 24 points in a victory over the Bulls.
Kuminga continued to produce at a high level off the bench over the next five games, forcing Steve Kerr to put him back into the starting lineup.
In the 11 games since initially being benched, Kuminga has averaged 24.6 points per gam, exceeding 20 points eight times. In the three times he failed to score more than 20, he averaged 18 per game.
The matchup against the Pacers is outstanding for Kuminga, as Indiana plays at the second-fastest pace in the league and ranks just 26th in defensive rating.
Kuminga now has a secure role in the starting lineup and has averaged nearly 36 minutes per game in his last six starts.
He should have no trouble racking up over 20 points in a great matchup.
Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves looks on against the Chicago Bulls. Getty Images## Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves vs. Bucks) more than 27.5 points
The Bucks host the Timberwolves in a battle between two teams vying for the top seed in their respective conferences.
Anthony Edwards is coming off two spectacular games, scoring 32 points against Houston and 38 against Chicago. Both of those matchups were more difficult than the one he faces Thursday night.
Chicago plays at the slowest pace in the league and ranks 15th in defensive rating, while Houston plays at the 17th-fastest pace in the league and ranks seventh in defensive rating.
Milwaukee struggles to defend the perimeter, ranks just 18th in defensive rating, and plays at the fourth-fastest pace in the league. Additionally, Khris Middleton has been ruled out for this game, leaving Milwaukee down another perimeter defender.
The Bucks uptempo style, elite offense and lack of perimeter defense often leads them into high-scoring game environments.
Minnesotas top-ranked defense will certainly be put to the test by Giannis Antetokounmpo and company. Anthony Edwards will be relied upon to provide the offensive response for the Wolves.
John Collins (Jazz vs. Suns) more than 21.5 points + rebounds
The Jazz were one of the more active teams at the deadline, trading away Simone Fontecchio, Ochai Agaji and Kelly Olynyk.
The players they received in return will not be available against the Suns, so they should have a more condensed rotation than usual.
Collins has been playing well of late and has already seen his playing time trending upward.
The thinning of the frontcourt rotation should only help solidify his minutes.
Since returning to the starting lineup after an injury in mid-December, Collins has averaged 25.2 minutes, 14.2 points and 7.8 rebounds per game.
Over his last eight games, he has averaged 28.3 minutes, 16.8 points and 10.1 rebounds per game.
The rotation shakeup could mean the return of Collins to power forward as Walker Kessler returns to the starting lineup at center.
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That would have an impact on Collins production, but I think his projection for Thursday night is overcompensating for that.
Per RotoGrinders CourtIQ tool, Collins has seen a 2.9% dip in his rebound rate when sharing the court with Kessler.
It is the largest decrease among any player, but it is still not enough to warrant this projection being 4.5 points and rebounds below his recent average production, especially when Collins could be in line for a playing time increase with the new rotation.
I also dont think Kessler moving into the starting lineup is a certainty, as the Jazz might want to get an extended look at first-round draft pick Taylor Hendricks.
No matter what the Jazz decide to do with the rotation, Collins should have a secure role and the solid production should continue.
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