2024 Farmers Insurance Open predictions: Three long shot picks at Torrey Pines
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The PGA Tour heads to one of its most iconic venues this week for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. It will be a rare Wednesday start as the Tour tries to dodge the NFL’s Conference Championship Games on Sunday.
Xander Schauffele is the betting favorite at +900, but he’s got plenty of company with Collin Morikawa (+1100), Patrick Cantlay (+1100) and Max Homa (+1200).
There’s a bit of a drop to Min Woo Lee (+2000) after the top-4.
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Long shots have been the story of the PGA Tour season so far.
Chris Kirk won the Sentry Tournament of Champions at +20000, Grayson Murray cashed around +40000 at the Sony Open and then Nick Dunlap became the first amateur winner on the PGA Tour in 33 years at last week’s American Express.
Will the trend continue at Torrey Pines this week?
2024 Farmers Insurance Open picks and predictions
Will Zalatoris (+5500, Caesars)
It’s time to get back on the Will Zalatoris train.
After spending basically all of 2023 on the sidelines, Zalatoris looked like a shell of himself with a missed-cut at the Sony Open.
Things looked a lot more promising a week later, though, as Zalatoris posted a T34 at the American Express.
That finish really hit the sweet spot for bettors because it wasn’t bad enough that Willy Z became untouchable at Torrey Pines, but was also not good enough that his number got obliterated.
Zalatoris finished runner-up here after he lost a playoff to Luke List in 2022.
Will Zalatoris of the United States could be an intriguing long shot. Getty Images### Hideki Matsuyama (+7000, FanDuel)
Another week, another bet on Hideki Matsuyama.
The 2021 Masters winner has not captured much momentum to start 2024, but a top-30 finish at the Sony Open at least shows that his game hasn’t fallen off a cliff.
Plus, we know that Matsuyama has more upside than basically any other player in this range and once he cracks a top-10 or a similar finish these numbers will disappear.
Hideki finished T9 here last year and also has a T3 finish back in 2019.
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Shane Lowry (+8000, FanDuel)
We’ll continue the buy-low theme with another Major champion at a big price.
Shane Lowry missed the cut at the American Express and that’s not wonderful, but it was his first start of the year and does give value-hunters the opportunity to swoop in and get a high-ceiling player at a terrific price.
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