NFL Week 17 best player prop bets, picks Sunday: Raheem Mostert, Jaylen Warren
Week 17 of the NFL season has arrived; the season goes by quickly.
It’s already going to be January, and we hope to close 2023 on a high note.
The player prop market has been full of upswings.
This is the most profitable season I have had to date, but it’s not over yet.
We will target a few of the best long shot bets in the player props world.
This is a pretty beatable market when targeting long shots that can explode for big games based on matchup and past-performance.
Below we target Week 17 player prop bets.
Week 17 NFL player prop bets and picks
Raheem Mostert over 45.5 rushing yards -110 (BetMGM) | 100+ 12/1 (Bet365)
He’s the clear back in Miami now. Raheem Mostert is getting the bell-cow role for a loaded Dolphins defense rushing attack that faces the Ravens at home this Sunday.
For all of the justified love the Ravens are getting, their run defense can be a bit leaky; they’ve allowed the fifth-most yards-per-carry average in the last four weeks.
Mostert is over in four of his last seven games played with two of those games profiling as blowouts that he didn’t play bits of the second half.
This is a must-win for Miami, target Mostert early and often this weekend.
Raheem Mostert has hit bell-cow status in Miami. Getty Images### Jaylen Warren over 35.5 rushing yards -105 (Fanatics Sportsbook) | 100+ 16/1 (bet365)
The Seahawks run defense is pitiful and I still believe that Jaylen Warren should be the featured back in the Pittsburgh offense.
Seattle is averaging 5.6 yards per carry allowed in their last three games, the worst rate in the NFL this season. They also have allowed 388 rushing yards to opposing running backs, the second most in that same time span of three games.
Warrne’s run scheme has fallen on hard times a bit recently, but he ran nine times for 59 yards against the Cardinals, the second-worst run defense in the league.
At 16/1, Warren to run for 100-plus yards is absurdly high considering the matchup and Warren having already cleared that number twice this season.
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Bryce Young over 172.5 passing yards -115 (BetRivers) | 275+ +920 (FanDuel)
Christmas Eve prop bettors won on Bryce Young over 1.5 passing touchdowns +400 and have a chance to do something similar this weekend when the Panthers face the Jaguars.
The Jaguars have allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL to opposing quarterbacks over the past four weeks (1,119 allowed).and Young seemed to find his groove last week, as predicted.
Young threw for 312 yards and two touchdowns, along with zero interceptions and just two sacks.
This was the best game of his career, and he has another plus-matchup this weekend. Grab Young while he’s still mispriced.
He’s not as bad as you remember from earlier in the season.
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