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Texas vs. Washington
Featuring two high-scoring offenses, this game boasts a substantial Over/Under of 62.5 total points. Both teams have been prolific, averaging over 36 points and 460 total yards per game.
The matchup sets the stage for an exciting quarterback duel between standout players Ewers and Penix. Adding to the anticipation, the game will take place indoors at the Caesars Superdome, eliminating concerns about adverse weather conditions.
Despite the potential for a shootout, our inclination in this matchup is toward the Under. Both teams have leaned towards the Under this season, with the Longhorns posting an 8-5 record against the Under (including five of their last six games) and the Huskies going 6-7 against the Under.
Considering the extended break since early December for both teams, the month-long layoff may impact offensive rhythm, leading to a slower start. The well-rested defenses, having had ample time to prepare, could capitalize on any offensive rustiness.
Texas’ robust defense is expected to contribute to a lower-scoring game. The Longhorns have surpassed 62.5 total points in only three of their 13 games this season, while Washington has achieved this in six of its 13 games.
Furthermore, the Huskies might struggle on the ground against Texas’ formidable run defense, ranking fourth in rushing yards allowed per game (81.1) and fifth in yards per rush (2.9).
The potential for penalties may also play a role in suppressing scoring, especially considering Washington’s tendency for mistakes in terms of penalties and penalty yards. This could prove costly against Texas’ disciplined defense, which boasts the second-fewest penalty yards conceded in the nation.
Pick: Over 63.5 (-110)
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