Week 16 NFL player props, picks Saturday: Bengals-Steelers, Bills-Chargers
What an unbelievable sports schedule we have for this holiday weekend. Between multiple college football bowl games and a loaded NFL schedule on Saturday, this is just an excellent time to be a fan.
Below, we break down some of the best player props and picks for Week 16’s Saturday schedule.
Last week, we didn’t hit any of the long shot props; we went 2-5, and the 3.18 unit loss is our first losing week since Week 12.
The season has been quite successful on the prop side, going 36-43 (45.56 percent), and our profit margin is sitting at 41.12 units.
If you blindly bet everything I’ve said this season, your Return on Investment would be up to 52.15 percent.
Week 16 NFL player props and picks for Saturday
Bengals vs. Steelers
Mason Rudolph over 188.5 passing yards -115 (BetMGM) | 275+ 10/1 (DraftKings)
Sure, Mason Rudolph is horrible; everyone’s going to say it. That’s fine, let them talk about how bad this bet is and then gloat after it wins.
The Bengals defense is among the worst in the NFL at allowing quarterbacks to roast them in the passing game.
Nick Mullins threw for 303 yards last week, and every quarterback since Week 5 has blown past this number.
If Mullins can throw for 300 and Kenny Pickett (Week 12) threw for 276 that week, anyone can. Rudolph is a joke, everyone knows it.
But that’s why he’s the perfect guy to bet this weekend. Expect the unexpected.
Jaylen Warren over 19.5 receiving yards + Under 3.5 receptions +516 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Stand clear of that receptions number 3.5 is much too high of a projection. But that receiving yards number? Tasty.
To be clear, take Warren’s over 19.5 receiving number on its own, that’s also a bet on record here, but the same-game parlay on his under receptions and over-receiving yards at +516 is excellent.
Jaylen Warren #30 of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Getty ImagesThe Bengals haven’t allowed many running back to gash them on the receiving end, allowing the seventh least receptions in the NFL to running backs.
But regardless of opponent, Warren has cleared this number in two straight so let’s target Warren on football Saturday.
Bills vs. Chargers
James Cook over 23.5 receiving yards (BetMGM Sportsbook)
This is just an obvious spot for James Cook to torment the Chargers pass defense. The Chargers get roasted, toasted, burnt to a crisp by running backs coming out of the backfield.
Los Angeles allows the second most passing yards to opposing running backs in the NFL while Cook has finally found his groove as the bellcow that the Bills need.
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He’s cleared this number in four straight and the Chargers haven’t been able to cover any running backs for most of the season.
Target Cook again in a must-win Bills matchup.
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