Saints vs. Rams prediction: ‘Thursday Night Football’ player props picks

bettingsports los angeles rams new orleans saints sports betting Sports Picks Bonus Code

Two teams in the thick of a playoff push square off on Thursday night as the New Orleans Saints head west to take on Matt Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams.

Both teams enter at 7-7, tied with four other teams in a tight NFC wild-card race.

The Saints enter winners of two straight while the Rams have won four of their last five.

This looks like a completely different Rams team from earlier in the season, with Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Kyren Williams all back at full health.

As a small favorite, LA is the side I lean toward backing here.

Saints vs. Rams prediction

Following the narrative that the Rams will win at home, there is a prop I have circled for Thursday night.

Im looking toward Alvin Kamara going over his receiving yards line of 29.5 at FanDuel.

Its no secret Kamara is a weapon in the receiving game.

In fact, with Jamaal Williams as his direct backup, there really isnt another receiving back to spoil Kamaras workload.

Williams averages about a target per game. Kamara? Oh, just 7.1!

BetMGM is at 31.5 and other books are as high as 32.5 for Kamara, which are still good lines.

When looking at Kamaras game log, he has hauled in at least 33 receiving yards in nine of 11 games (82 percent). In losses, he is a perfect 100 percent.

While the Saints should be getting Chris Olave (ankle) back for Thursday, it is a quick turnaround for a receiver who did not suit up last week.

Stream the game live on Thursday night on Amazon Prime Video

Saints_vs__Rams_prediction___Thursday_Night_Football__player_props_picks Alvin Kamara #41 of the New Orleans Saints. Getty ImagesDerek Carr has a tendency to rely on his checkdowns often, so Kamaras workload should be minimally affected. If anything, itll lead to more drop-backs.

As for the matchup, the Rams are about league average in DVOA on passes to running backs. They have been able to limit explosiveness, though they give up plenty of checkdowns (4.3 receptions per game).

In general, the Rams play zone at the sixth-highest rate in the NFL (81.7 percent). Against both man and zone coverage, Kamara is the second-best Saints receiver when it comes to yards per route run.

He is more effective against man but sees a significant boost in target percentage against zone.

In fact, hes been targeted just 10 times when running a route against man coverage. Zone? Hes racked up 60 targets!

The numbers are staggering, and his 1.77 Y/RR remains excellent. For reference, Olave is barely ahead at 1.84.

The Saints offense often funnels through Kamara, especially in the short game. He isnt a workhorse on the ground and sees about 12-15 carries per game on average.

Betting on the NFL?

Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL
Check out the best NFL betting sites
Get the latest Super Bowl 2023 Odds.
Get the BetMGM Bonus Code

Tack on the fact that New Orleans will likely find itself in a trailing game script, and we could see more targets funneled Kamaras way.

In the last nine games, Kamara has been targeted at least five times all but once.

Hes had doule-digit reception games twice before and with Olave possibly limited in snaps and Michael Thomas on injured reserve, there should be a greater emphasis on getting the ball to the Saints best playmaker.

Stafford and the Rams offense are in form, which could lead to a sneaky high-scoring Thursday night.

Weve seen Kamaras explosiveness in open space and his workload should remain at a constant.

Back ol reliable in the Saints offense to get the job done in the receiving game.

THE PICKS: Alvin Kamara over 4.5 receptions +123 (BetRivers Sportsbook) | Over 29.5 receiving yards -112

How many decks are used in poker?

In most popular poker variants, such as Texas Hold'em and Omaha, a standard deck of 52 playing cards is used. Each deck contains four suits (hearts, diamonds, clubs, and spades) and consists of 13 ranks (Ace, 2 through 10, and the face cards: Jack, Queen, and King).

What is the bonus code for WPT Global Poker 2023?

The best bonus code for WPT Global is WPT777. By entering the bonus code, players will get a welcome bonus 100% up to $1,200 on the first deposit. The minimum deposit is $20.